I completed my write-up of my revised derivations of the soccer Pythagorean formula.  It fixes the problems that I had with overpredicting points and calculating win and draw probabilities that exceeded unity.  Maybe I should come up with a better name, because it no longer looks like the Pythagorean equation.

Here's the document link:

PythagDerivationVersion2p0.pdf [240kb]

I hope these equations will be useful to the soccer community.  Just remember to acknowledge me and this site — it is the culmination of four months of work.