Final Pythagorean table for 2011-12 Italian Serie A
Categories: Soccer Pythagorean: Tables
Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2011-12 Italian Serie A whose final matches were today (13 May). The league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70. This table reflects point totals won on the field, and does not account for the 6 point deduction suffered by Atalanta in the aftermath of the latest match fixing scandal.
Juve were deserved winners, but their unbeaten record helps illustrate one flaw of the soccer Pythagorean. It doesn’t predict overall records very well, especially at the extremes of team achievement (unbeaten seasons, or winless seasons). But the spread of expected wins, draws, and losses results in a point total that is close to reality more often than not. We see that here in the Juventus expectation — the predicted record is way off, but the point total is spot on.
The big overachievers were Chievo, who should have been fighting relegation yet finished in 10th place. Michael Bradley is going to get a lot of attention in the off-season, but he probably won’t be the only one from that squad. The big underachievers were Napoli and Siena.
League Table | Pythagorean | ||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Team | GP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts | W | D | L | Pts | Δ |
Juventus | 38 | 23 | 15 | 0 | 68 | 20 | +48 | 84 | 25 | 9 | 4 | 84 | +0 |
Milan | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 74 | 33 | +41 | 80 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 77 | +3 |
Udinese | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 52 | 35 | +17 | 64 | 18 | 11 | 9 | 65 | -1 |
Lazio | 38 | 18 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 47 | +9 | 62 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 58 | +4 |
Napoli | 38 | 16 | 13 | 9 | 66 | 46 | +20 | 61 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 66 | -5 |
Internazionale | 38 | 17 | 7 | 14 | 58 | 55 | +3 | 58 | 15 | 9 | 14 | 54 | +4 |
Roma | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 60 | 54 | +6 | 56 | 16 | 9 | 13 | 57 | -1 |
Parma | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54 | 53 | +1 | 56 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 52 | +4 |
Atalanta | 38 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 52 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | +2 |
Bologna | 38 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 51 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 50 | +1 |
Chievo | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 49 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 | +5 |
Catania | 38 | 11 | 15 | 12 | 47 | 52 | -5 | 48 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 49 | -1 |
Fiorentina | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 46 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 48 | -2 |
Siena | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 45 | 45 | +0 | 44 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 53 | -9 |
Cagliari | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 43 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 44 | -1 |
Palermo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 52 | 62 | -10 | 43 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | -2 |
Genoa | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 50 | 69 | -19 | 42 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | +0 |
Lecce | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 40 | 56 | -16 | 36 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 40 | -4 |
Novara | 38 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 35 | 65 | -30 | 32 | 8 | 9 | 21 | 33 | -1 |
Cesena | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 60 | -36 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 22 | 28 | -6 |