Since I started to apply mean time between fouls and mean time between stoppages to World Cup data, I was curious to find out if there was any correlation between these “mean-time-between” metrics and the effective match time. I’ll examine the correlation issues in this post.For reference, here is my post on MTBF for the […]
Continuing our application of “mean time between” metrics to the World Cup, I consider mean time between stoppages. (more…)
In my previous post I introduced the concept of mean time between fouls and mean time between stoppages. In this post I calculate mean time between fouls over all matches of the 2014 FIFA World Cup. (more…)
I was looking through this blog at the number of posts that I’ve written about referee performance, and it turns out that there are, as of this date, five posts under that category. Three of the articles are reviews of research publications, so I’ve actually written very little about the subject. That’s about to change […]
The summer transfer window is now closed, so it’s a good time to update the projections for this season’s Eredivisie. (more…)
The summer transfer window is now closed, so it’s a good time to update the projections for this season’s Premier League. (more…)
To complete the look back at the 2013-14 league projections, below is a table that compiles the performance of our goal estimates, and the expected point model to come from that. The competitions are sorted by the number of teams in the competition, then the points RMSE. Unless stated by a number next to the […]
This is the third and final part of our exercise in humility — evaluating and assessing our league projections from the 2013-14 European season. At some point in the future I’ll post the projected league tables, but I wanted to write my assessments and besides the 2014-15 season has just started. (more…)
Following on from my most recent post, I continue looking back at the preseason projections that Aaron Nielsen and I made at the start of 2013-14 European season. I will add projected and actual league tables soon; I wanted to get my assessments written down now. (more…)
Before the World Cup I started to take a look back at the league projections that Aaron Nielsen and I made at the start of the 2013-14 European season. I took a break during the World Cup to concentrate on the Soccermetrics Connect API, and then took some time away. With the 2014-15 European season […]
