A few days ago, I wrote about an email discussion I was having on soccer Pythagoreans. (Here's some more information on Pythagoreans in general in case you don't know what they are.) The development of soccer Pythagoreans is an interesting problem, and an open problem in my opinion because the underlying premises of the Pythagorean […]
Bittner E., Nussbaumer A., Janke W. and Weigel M., "Self-affirmation model for football goal distributions", Europhysics Letters, 78 (2007), 58002. [PDF]Does scoring a goal in a football match improve the probability of scoring another one? In this paper the authors augment a statistical model with a feedback term called "self-affirmation" that reflects the (de)motivation of […]
S. E. Hallinan, "Paired comparison models for ranking national soccer teams", M.S. Thesis, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, 2005. [PDF]This thesis extends a Bradley-Terry statistical model to accommodate for drawn results, home advantage, and neutral site matches and applies it to international results over the last ten years in order to develop an […]
L. Szczepanski, "Measuring the effectiveness of strategies and quantifying players' performance in football", International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 8(2): 55-66, 2008. [Link]This paper describes a procedure that estimates the probability of scoring and conceding goals in a match from open or set play in a given sector of the field, by a player […]
Moschini, GianCarlo, "Nash equilibrium in competitive games: live play in soccer", Economics Letters, 85: 365-371 (2005).This paper uses game theory to model a common soccer scenario: whether to beat a goalkeeper by shooting at the near post or the far post. The author examines goals scored in a Serie A season and determines that this […]
Benoit Emonet, "Revisiting Statistical Applications in Soccer", STS Report, Department of Mathematics, Swiss Federal Institute of Technology, 2000. [PDF] (more…)
Marco Leo, Nicola Mosca, Paolo Spagnolo, Pierluigi Mazzeo, Tiaziana D'Orazio, and Arcangelo Distante, "Real-time multiview analysis of soccer matches for understanding interactions between ball and players", presented at 2008 International Conference on Content-based Image and Video Retrieval, Niagara Falls, Ontario, Canada, pp. 525-534.For my review, read on. Comments welcome. (more…)
