Throughout Argentina’s Superliga season I’ve presented two league tables side-by-side — one based on the actual league results, and an alternative table based on the expected goal scorelines. Here’s the final table:(I color coded the outcome zones for the teams; yellow is for the league champion, blue goes to group stage of Copa Libertadores 2019, […]
Argentina’s Primera División 2016-17 has been a study of constants and fluidity since it began last August. Boca Juniors have led the tournament since December, but at least two and as many as five other sides have appeared as credible challengers to the title. Some teams should have been stronger challengers but haven’t (Racing Club), […]
Earlier in the month I presented a breakdown of offensive and defensive expected goal performance in Argentina’s Primera División. Here’s an update after the most recent matches played last weekend (Round 25).Below is the offensive performance chart for Primera as of Round 25. The actual and expected goals are reported for open play events, set […]
I’ve taken some time to break down expected goals of each side in Argentina’s Primera División by offensive and defensive performance and by type of play. I’ve decided to display the breakdowns in two charts for offensive and defensive performances, and I’m going to borrow a practice from Formula One to highlight performance extremes.Below is the […]
A couple of weeks ago I posted a list of the top players in Argentina’s Primera División by expected goals. Let’s look at how the table looks with eight matchdays to go. (There remain a couple of matches to be played in Round 22.)It’s always beneficial to compare the expected goals of shot events with […]
En esta entrada presento el concepto del mapa de expectativa de gol (mapa xG) que ilustra los intentos de gol de los dos protagonistas y sus probabilidades de convertirse en goles.Los mapas no son inéditos en la comunidad de los analistas avanzados del fútbol. Michael Caley y Sander Ijtsma (alias 11tegen11) se hicieron famosos por […]
With my latest push into the world of Expected Goals, it’s inevitable that I produce an xG chart for each game. This is what I’m presenting here.These xG maps are definitely not new — if you’ve been following Michael Caley or Sander Ijtsma (aka 11tegen11) you’ve been inundated by them. My contribution is to design the […]
Argentina’s Primera División championship has entered the final third of the season, and Boca Juniors — who have led for much of the tournament — now find themselves in a three-way scrap for the title. And it is not inconceivable that three or even four other sides will join the fight.Below is an enlarged league […]
En la entrada previa presenté la estructura de un modelo de expectativa de gol y la estrategia para entrenarlo. Vamos a aplicarlo al torneo actual de la Primera División Argentina por la gentileza de DataFactory. Ya van 20 jornadas del campeonato, así que faltan 10 fechas de este torneo larguísimo.La tabla de posiciones, para los […]
En los últimos años, la expectativa de gol (xG en inglés) ha llegado a ser la medida del análisis avanzado con el mayor impacto en el mundo del fútbol. Dentro de la comunidad del análisis estadístico de fútbol, parece que todo el mundo ha desarrollado su modelo estadístico de expectativa de gol para hacer una narrativa […]
