I was trawling for conferences for statistical analysis in sport, and I came across this conference at MIT's Sloan School of Business in March. From the looks of it, they don't have any presentations on sport analytics from anyone in the soccer world. They should. UPDATE: This call for papers at the Conference might be […]
A few days ago, I wrote about an email discussion I was having on soccer Pythagoreans. (Here's some more information on Pythagoreans in general in case you don't know what they are.) The development of soccer Pythagoreans is an interesting problem, and an open problem in my opinion because the underlying premises of the Pythagorean […]
I've been busy with work and then travel over the past two days, but tonight I was able to get to work on a list of tables and fields that I think would be relevant for a soccer match database. There might be other fields that other users would put in for other competitions, but […]
The other night I found myself included on a message thread where a guy (this one) is attempting to develop a soccer Pythagorean formula that would allow him to predict the number of points won over a league season based on the number of goals scored and allowed by a team over a season. From […]
I haven't been on the site in a while, and for good reason. Work has picked up (thankfully!) and I've gotten bogged down with papers to read and analysis questions that need answering. I am realizing just how lazy I really am, which is funny to read from someone with three university degrees. (Or maybe […]
A new season of the CONCACAF Champions League is upon us, and I've updated the club/domestic league coefficients after the conclusion of the preliminary round. A link to the newest coefficients is found below.Download CCL_NatlCoefficients0910_20090810 [.xls/144kb]Download CCL_NatlCoefficients0910_20090810 [.ods/43kb]
I've been looking at my posts on here, and they have been heavy on the academic stuff. Lots of paper reviews and discussions, a few notices of conferences/symposia in the field…they're all good as far as keeping my foot in the technical community is concerned. But I don't want this blog to be stuck in […]
Bittner E., Nussbaumer A., Janke W. and Weigel M., "Self-affirmation model for football goal distributions", Europhysics Letters, 78 (2007), 58002. [PDF]Does scoring a goal in a football match improve the probability of scoring another one? In this paper the authors augment a statistical model with a feedback term called "self-affirmation" that reflects the (de)motivation of […]
S. E. Hallinan, "Paired comparison models for ranking national soccer teams", M.S. Thesis, Department of Mathematical Sciences, Worcester Polytechnic Institute, 2005. [PDF]This thesis extends a Bradley-Terry statistical model to accommodate for drawn results, home advantage, and neutral site matches and applies it to international results over the last ten years in order to develop an […]
L. Szczepanski, "Measuring the effectiveness of strategies and quantifying players' performance in football", International Journal of Performance Analysis in Sport, 8(2): 55-66, 2008. [Link]This paper describes a procedure that estimates the probability of scoring and conceding goals in a match from open or set play in a given sector of the field, by a player […]
