This is the third and final part of our exercise in humility — evaluating and assessing our league projections from the 2013-14 European season. At some point in the future I’ll post the projected league tables, but I wanted to write my assessments and besides the 2014-15 season has just started. (more…)
Following on from my most recent post, I continue looking back at the preseason projections that Aaron Nielsen and I made at the start of 2013-14 European season. I will add projected and actual league tables soon; I wanted to get my assessments written down now. (more…)
Before the World Cup I started to take a look back at the league projections that Aaron Nielsen and I made at the start of the 2013-14 European season. I took a break during the World Cup to concentrate on the Soccermetrics Connect API, and then took some time away. With the 2014-15 European season […]
A new season of the English Premier League starts on Saturday, and the interwebs are full of previews and predictions of what will happen over the next nine months. I’ll leave the previews to the journalists, but I will present expectations of the final league table here.A lot of people are visiting this site for the first […]
We move on from England to the other domestic leagues that make up the European Big Five — Spain, France, Italy, and Germany. The format is the same as before in which we post the pre-season projections, the final table, and a statistical summary of the predictive quality of our forecast. So, let’s go. (more…)
There is one more projection left to assess in the English professional game this season: the 2013-14 English Premier League.Here is what we projected at the start of the season: And here is the final league table: Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts Manchester City 38 27 5 6 102 37 65 86 […]
We continue our review of the projections we made for the 2013-14 European season by looking at England’s Football League Championship. Here is what we projected at the start of the season: And here is the final table: Pld W D L GF GA GD Pts Leicester City 46 31 9 6 83 43 40 […]
We continue our review of the projections we made for the 2013-14 European season by looking at England’s Football League One.Here is what we projected at the start of the season:And here is the final league table: GP W D L GF GA GD Pts Wolverhampton Wanderers 46 31 10 5 89 31 58 103 […]
I didn’t do much updating on the ResultsPage site this season so I didn’t track the Pythagorean table as I did in previous seasons. But now that the 2013-14 English Premier League is over, I want to take a look at the final Pythagorean table to see if the over- and under-performing teams match up […]
At the start of the 2013-14 European football season, I published a series of pre-season projections for over 30 league competitions that follow the European calendar (August to June). You can read the initial post in the series but I’ll repeat the methodology again.To make these projections we first project the goals scored and allowed […]
