I’ve taken some time to break down expected goals of each side in Argentina’s Primera División by offensive and defensive performance and by type of play. I’ve decided to display the breakdowns in two charts for offensive and defensive performances, and I’m going to borrow a practice from Formula One to highlight performance extremes.Below is the […]
A continuación doy la lista de los diez jugadores que producen la mayor xG (expectativa de gol) en la Primera División Argentina. Esta lista es válida para los partidos jugados hasta el 30 de abril, que corresponde a la fecha 22 del campeonato. (Hay tres partidos por jugar de la fecha, dos se juegan hoy […]
A couple of weeks ago I posted a list of the top players in Argentina’s Primera División by expected goals. Let’s look at how the table looks with eight matchdays to go. (There remain a couple of matches to be played in Round 22.)It’s always beneficial to compare the expected goals of shot events with […]
En esta entrada presento el concepto del mapa de expectativa de gol (mapa xG) que ilustra los intentos de gol de los dos protagonistas y sus probabilidades de convertirse en goles.Los mapas no son inéditos en la comunidad de los analistas avanzados del fútbol. Michael Caley y Sander Ijtsma (alias 11tegen11) se hicieron famosos por […]
With my latest push into the world of Expected Goals, it’s inevitable that I produce an xG chart for each game. This is what I’m presenting here.These xG maps are definitely not new — if you’ve been following Michael Caley or Sander Ijtsma (aka 11tegen11) you’ve been inundated by them. My contribution is to design the […]
Argentina’s Primera División championship has entered the final third of the season, and Boca Juniors — who have led for much of the tournament — now find themselves in a three-way scrap for the title. And it is not inconceivable that three or even four other sides will join the fight.Below is an enlarged league […]
En la entrada previa presenté la estructura de un modelo de expectativa de gol y la estrategia para entrenarlo. Vamos a aplicarlo al torneo actual de la Primera División Argentina por la gentileza de DataFactory. Ya van 20 jornadas del campeonato, así que faltan 10 fechas de este torneo larguísimo.La tabla de posiciones, para los […]
En los últimos años, la expectativa de gol (xG en inglés) ha llegado a ser la medida del análisis avanzado con el mayor impacto en el mundo del fútbol. Dentro de la comunidad del análisis estadístico de fútbol, parece que todo el mundo ha desarrollado su modelo estadístico de expectativa de gol para hacer una narrativa […]
In my previous post I presented my approach to building and testing expected goal models that I use in the future. I’ve been working with DataFactory‘s data from the Argentina Primera División, so I will apply the xG model to create a table that competition. This table is valid for matches played before this weekend […]
Expected goals has become a thing — some might say, the thing — in soccer analytics over the last 3-4 years. It is the one metric that has broken out of analyst circles and discussion groups into the football mainstream, and it seems that every analyst has their own expected goals (xG) model that they […]
