ter Weel, B., "Does Manager Turnover Improve Firm Performance? Evidence from Dutch Soccer, 1996-2004", De Economist, 2001, to appear. [Link]Heuer A, Müller C, Rubner O, Hagemann N, Strauss B "Usefulness of Dismissing and Changing the Coach in Professional Soccer", PLoS ONE, 6(3): e17664, 2011. [Link]These two papers examine the impact of manager turnover on club […]
The ideas of goal weighting and goal utility have attracted attention from many quarters in the soccer analytics community. One example is the excellent 11tegen11 blog which presents an implementation of the weighted goals metric to the Dutch Eredivisie. A couple differences between his metric and mine are that he uses the idea of "expected […]
I promised some of my Spanish readers that I would post this, and I'm finally able to do it now.Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2010-11 Spanish Segunda División, whose regular season concluded last weekend. The league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70.The league Pythagorean confirms Betis' deserved promotion based on their performance throughout the […]
It's taken a while to reach this point, but all of the MLS teams have played enough matches to make a Pythagorean table meaningful. Here is such a table for the 2011 MLS regular season for matches played up to today (12 June). As always, the league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70. Draw and loss columns […]
There are new visitors to this website all the time, so not everyone is aware of my ongoing projects, but I have been quiet about this particular project for quite some time. I have been working on the design of a match result database to facilitate my analysis work. I am very allergic to repetitive tasks, […]
Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2010-11 French Ligue 1 which concluded today. The league Pythagorean exponent is 1.70.The table indicates that Lille were deserved winners and PSG finally played up to its potential after several underperforming seasons. The conventional wisdom says that Sochaux had a great season to finish in the top […]
Yesterday was the 22nd anniversary of the most dramatic league decider in the history of English football, and perhaps the most dramatic match of its kind anywhere: Liverpool vs Arsenal in 1989. Arsenal had led for most of the season until the closing weeks when Liverpool charged past them into first place with a match […]
As I transition from my current job to my startup, I've started to think about my professional society memberships. Overall they have been useful in personal and professional networking with other professionals in my field, presenting technical publications, and receiving member discounts. I plan on maintaining membership in most of them, but some will be […]
Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2010-11 Turkish Süper Lig which concluded today. The Pythagorean league exponent is 1.70.The new champions Fenerbahçe were the biggest surprise of the season with a +10 Pythagorean residual. Their defensive record (goals allowed variance of 1.0) was not that great compared to champions from the other European […]
Below is the final Pythagorean table for the 2010-11 Italian Serie A that concluded today. As always I use the league Pythagorean exponent of 1.70.Milan had such a dominant season in the league that it obscured the very good seasons of Inter and Napoli. Napoli's overachievement made the difference in their passage into next season's […]
